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Thursday, September 8, 2016

You are here-revisited rate of change-expansion

Occasionally in this blog, I make a slight divergence to determine where the heck we are in the universe.  I do this mainly to remind you with relatively simple mathematics how much smarter I am than everyone else.  Honestly, no one believes that.
Today, I will tell you where I expect the next inflection point to be and why.  At this point, inflection point, which I am going to give you with some specificity (using several assumptions) you will know exactly when the universe will suddenly stop expanding and start contracting.
Prepare to set your alarm clock.
Don't worry about reading fast, it won't happen while I'm typing this or while your reading it unless you're reading it far, far into the future after everyone has signed a petition acknowledging that I was smarter than everyone else, I suppose.
As most kindergarten physicists know the universe is expanding and that the farther galaxies "appear" to be be moving faster.  We know why this is the case using AuT, but Kindergarten physicists do not know, so I will refer to the fact that the average inflection point over all the spirals stacked to form the universe is in a net expansion state which relates to an inflection point that occurred around 13.7 billion years ago and is affectionately known as "the most recent inflection point from net compression to expansion" or "the big bang" to the kinder (a little German there just for you).
For purposes of this we are going to (1) accept relativistic effects and then (2) reject them and finally (3) we're going to correct for CBR which is the only thing that matters since it's the only point of reference relative to the beginning and end of things for reasons that will be clear..
The farthest object we see is at 13.3 bln light years and is moving away from us (1) at three times the speed of light or (2) the speed of light less a bit. [remember that 1 accepts the relativistic effects and 2, the more accurate measure, rejects them].  However, (3) for CBR it's not moving at all.  If it is, as I will discuss shortly, then the universe is really old and you better grab your hat and umbrella.
The universe is young!  Relatively speaking, I believe it is 1/44th of its way towards the beginning of its contraction phase.
Let me explain.
The farthest object is 13.3 bln light years away.  In a universe that is 13.7 billion years old that means it's essentially at the edge of the universe and it took 13.3 billion years for it's light to reach us which was some 420 million years after it formed.  It's essentially at the edge of the universe, but whether we're going to stick with 13.3 billion light years or the 13.7 doesn't matter much because the extra distance isn't important for rounding this off.  If you really want to put an alarm on your phone and it will handle the numbers, you can try to get more precise, you'll have the math.
According to relativity the distant galaxy is moving at (1) 3c relative to us which is (3) zero relative to CBR but it's really moving at (2) the speed of light (c) and we know that to be the case because...the initial spirals are all space moving at the speed of light and this is only slowing down a little because it's only 400 million years old.  I.E. ct1 changes at the speed of light if you put a speed to it at all.
You and I are in a galaxy that's moving at the relatively slow speed of 627km/s.  Earth is actually moving slower than the galaxy relative to cbr but if you start comparing apples to pomegranates you're going to end up with a fruit salad.  Anyway, we're a mere 25000 light years from the center of the 13.7 billion light year across universe.  We're only 1.9x10-6 of the way to the edge of the universe.  Now let's talk about what is happening because of this.  The other galaxy is not really moving at 3 times the speed of light or even at the speed of light.  It was when it's light started to come to us a 13 billion years ago, but it's subject to the same average inflection point that we are, we're just 13 billion years down the road from it.
To put it another way, the universe has slowed from expanding during that 13.7 billion years from the (1) relativistic speed of 2c (599564800m/s) or (2) the real speed of light (299782450 m/s) all the way down to 627,000 m/s today  It's gotten a lot slower over those 13.7 billion years unless you correct this for CBM and spiral motion.
If you use the measured speed we'd be 98% of the way to the inflection point (and you'd be running to grab your umbrella and raincoat) which is part of the reason I think that goes in the wrong direction although it would still mean we have 2% of 13.7 billion years before the inflection point).  Instead we're looking at is slowing from the cbm of non-movement all the way up to 627,000 m/s going towards a dead stop at 299782450m/s relative to cbm.
That means that we've slowed down 2.25% of the ways slowed 299155450m/s over a mere 13.7  billion years.  It has slowed 2.25% of the way to being at a complete stop, an inflection point.  Put another way, we're 1/44 th of the way to the next inflection point.  This means that 44 times 13.7 billion years from today we'll be at the inflection point and I'll be around 609 billion years and a half century old.  Makes my back hurt just to think about it.
And you...are here!


One footnote, if we've really slowed 98% of the way down then in 2.74 billion years the universe will stop expanding.  That's pretty fast but it might be the right time frame, who knows?




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